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The key to finding this posterior probability is Bayes' theorem, which is the formula below.(Don't worry, we'll explain what all this means): There's a bunch of symbols and terms in the theorem, so let's take a look at what they all mean: P(A | E) on the left hand side is, as we said above, the updated likelihood that my date likes me (A), given that we've seen our new evidence (E) — the good early date conversation.We also supposed above that P(A) should be 0.1, or 10%.P(E | A), also showing up twice on the right hand side of the equation, is the flipside of what we're looking for — the probability that we would see the evidence E, assuming that the proposition A is true.Search for and find love online – nowadays the best way to do that is to join singles websites, which are always ready to come to the rescue.
Being at the top of the glut of dating websites, offers you the ideal place to have a great time with people online.We symbolize a conditional probability like this as P(A | E) — recall that A is my date liking me, and E is our new evidence from the good early conversation.We call this updated assessment of the likelihood of our proposition the "posterior probability".So, why not check the accuracy of this rule via our dating site?Meet people in your area, join flirty conversations in our chatrooms, date online and have fun!
We now have a piece of evidence, E, that will allow us to update the likelihood of A (the odds that the date is successful).